Category: Proposal Tool powered by Hidden Levers

Outcome Overview-4 scenarios This scenario covers the heart of the global financial crisis, from the collapse of Lehman Brothers until the market lows of early 2009, and examines the max draw downs of key levers over that timeframe. This outcome uses the max drawdown of all levers for the overall crisis. The 2008 financial crisis…

Outcome Overview What if the economy falls into a recession with a severity like that modeled by the Federal Reserve’s 2017 adverse scenario?The Fed’s adverse scenario calls for: Stable inflation, with 0% fed funds rate but 10y yields staying fairly constant. A moderate recession playing out over 18 months A sharp crash in equities prices…

Outcome Overview What if the GOP is able to repeal and replace the ACA with a conservative plan that offers coverage while reducing costs? A successful conservative plan might be modeled on Singapore, which combines catastrophic coverage, HSAs, and pricing competition to deliver universal coverage cheaply. Many traditional GOP supporters, including doctors, hospitals, and pharma,…